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Chile - Primera División logo Chile flag Chile - Primera División Regular Season - 11 Estadio La Portada· La Serena Sunday, April 26, 2026 16:30
La Serena logo La Serena PPG 1.60
0-0 MISS
Huachipato logo Huachipato PPG 1.20
Over3.5· +61.7% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.1%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -5.3%
Draw 27.6%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -10.3%
Away 27.3%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -11.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.9% Odds: 2.10 +25.8%
Over 3.5 43.7% Odds: 3.70 +61.7%
BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.80 +5.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

La Serena
1.92
Huachipato
1.46

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +25.8% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+61.7%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)

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