Lech Poznan vs Legia Warsaw Prediction— Poland - Ekstraklasa

Match Preview & Prediction

Lech Poznan face Legia Warsaw in Poland - Ekstraklasa on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lech Poznan a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Legia Warsaw 25%, so Lech Poznan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Lech Poznan and 1.2 for Legia Warsaw (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lech Poznan are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.93 for Legia Warsaw. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +11.7%. This match finished 4-0.