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Borac Banja L. vs Sloga Doboj Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Regular Season - 31 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 15:30

Borac Banja L.

PPG 2.67 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Sloga Doboj

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 88.9% vs bookmaker-implied 84.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-10.2%0-20.0%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-04.2%1-10.8%1-20.1%1-30.0%1-4+0.0%2 2-09.3%2-11.9%2-20.2%2-30.0%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.9%3-12.8%3-20.3%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-053.4%4+-110.7%4+-21.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 88.9% 84.7% 1.18 +4.9%

Draw 9.7% 18.2% 5.50 -46.7%

Away win 1.4% 6.7% 15.00 -79.0%

Over 2.5 68.1% — — —

Over 3.5 68.6% — — —

BTTS 29.7% 40.8% 2.45 -27.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -11.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 86%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)4.5 xG (away)0.2 BTTS prob29.7%

H 89% / xG 4.5-0.2 / O2.5 68% / NoBTTS 30%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 15.6%

#2 5–0 13.9%

#3 3–0 13.9%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 1–0 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Borac Banja L.4.5

Sloga Doboj0.2

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.1% · O3.5 PROB 68.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BORAC BANJA L. · PPG 2.67

SLOGA DOBOJ · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.67), Away POOR (0.40) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Borac Banja L. (H) 88.9%

ODDS 1.18 · IMPLIED 84.7% EV +4.9%

Draw 9.7%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV -46.7%

Sloga Doboj (A) 1.4%

ODDS 15.00 · IMPLIED 6.7% EV -79.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Borac Banja L. face Sloga Doboj in Bosnia - Premijer Liga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Borac Banja L. a 89% chance, the draw 10% and Sloga Doboj 1%, so Borac Banja L. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.5 for Borac Banja L. and 0.2 for Sloga Doboj (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 30% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Borac Banja L. are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 0.40 for Sloga Doboj. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.9%. This match finished 3-1.

Borac Banja L. vs Sloga Doboj Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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