Predict
Vantage
Today
Top Picks
Accuracy
Leagues
← Back to picks
France - Ligue 1
Regular Season - 31
Roazhon Park· Rennes
Sunday, April 26, 2026
15:15
Rennes
PPG 1.87
2-1
HIT CS3
Nantes
PPG 0.73
Away· +6.4%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
62.7%
Odds: 1.41
EV: -11.6%
Draw
22.1%
Odds: 4.65
EV: +2.8%
Away
15.2%
Odds: 7.00
EV: +6.4%
Model lean:
Home
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
59.0%
Odds: 1.65
-2.6%
Over 3.5
40.7%
Odds: 2.60
+5.8%
BTTS
52.6%
Odds: 1.80
-5.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-0
✘
2nd
3-0
✘
3rd
2-1
✔
4th
1-0
✘
5th
1-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Rennes
2.52
Nantes
0.72
Model Suggestion
Home
-11.6%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Home, but EV is -11.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+6.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.87) vs P(Home)=62.7%