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France - Ligue 1 logo France flag France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 31 Roazhon Park· Rennes Sunday, April 26, 2026 15:15
Rennes logo Rennes PPG 1.87
2-1 HIT CS3
Nantes logo Nantes PPG 0.73
Away· +6.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 62.7%
Odds: 1.41 EV: -11.6%
Draw 22.1%
Odds: 4.65 EV: +2.8%
Away 15.2%
Odds: 7.00 EV: +6.4%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.65 -2.6%
Over 3.5 40.7% Odds: 2.60 +5.8%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.80 -5.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Rennes
2.52
Nantes
0.72

Model Suggestion

Home -11.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -11.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+6.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.87) vs P(Home)=62.7%

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