← Back to picks 
France - Ligue 1 Sunday, April 26, 2026 15:15 
Le Havre PPG 1.47 
Metz PPG 0.33
France - Ligue 1 Sunday, April 26, 2026 15:15 Le Havre PPG 1.474-4 MISS
Metz PPG 0.33Away· +26.4% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 1.85 -7.5%
Over 3.5 25.0% Odds: 3.10 -22.5%
BTTS 50.0% Odds: 1.85 -7.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Le Havre 1.80
Metz 0.73
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -7.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+26.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+26.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 42 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 62%
BTTS/No 55%
Score Hit 36%
ROI -18.0%
Bet Hit 50% (16 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 80%
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.47) vs P(Home)=49.7%