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Szentlorinc vs BVSC Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 27 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 15:00

Szentlorinc

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

BVSC

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.0%0-112.8%0-28.2%0-33.5%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.2%1-113.1%1-28.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.2%2-16.7%2-24.3%2-31.8%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.8%3-12.3%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.3% 48.8% 2.05 -31.7%

Draw 31.9% 33.3% 3.00 -4.3%

Away win 34.8% 31.3% 3.20 +11.4%

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 20.2% — — —

BTTS 52.6% 54.1% 1.85 -2.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.6%

D 32% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 10.0%

#3 0–1 12.8%

#4 1–2 8.4%

#5 1–0 10.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Szentlorinc1.0

BVSC1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 20.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SZENTLORINC · PPG 1.00

BVSC · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Szentlorinc (H) 33.3%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -31.7%

Draw 31.9%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -4.3%

BVSC (A) 34.8%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +11.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Szentlorinc face BVSC in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Szentlorinc a 33% chance, the draw 32% and BVSC 35%, so BVSC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Szentlorinc and 1.3 for BVSC (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Szentlorinc are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.38 for BVSC. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +11.4%. This match finished 2-0.

Szentlorinc vs BVSC Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

More Hungary - NB II Predictions