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Mezokovesd vs Ajka Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 27 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 15:00

Mezokovesd

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Ajka

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.7%0-19.0%0-22.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.1%1-111.5%1-23.3%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.9%2-17.3%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.5%3-13.1%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-11.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.8% 52.6% 1.90 -11.1%

Draw 31.4% 32.3% 3.10 -2.7%

Away win 21.8% 27.0% 3.70 -19.3%

Over 2.5 38.0% 48.8% 2.05 -22.1%

Over 3.5 11.7% — — —

BTTS 48.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.3%

H 47% / xG 1.3-0.6 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 20.1%

#2 0–0 15.7%

#3 1–1✓ 11.5%

#4 2–0 12.9%

#5 2–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mezokovesd1.3

Ajka0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.0% · O3.5 PROB 11.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MEZOKOVESD · PPG 1.67

AJKA · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Mezokovesd (H) 46.8%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -11.1%

Draw 31.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -2.7%

Ajka (A) 21.8%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -19.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Mezokovesd face Ajka in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mezokovesd a 47% chance, the draw 31% and Ajka 22%, so Mezokovesd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Mezokovesd and 0.6 for Ajka (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mezokovesd are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.33 for Ajka. This match finished 1-1.

Mezokovesd vs Ajka Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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