Kecskemeti TE vs Tiszakecske Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Hungary - NB II Regular Season - 27 Széktói Stadion· Kecskemét Sunday, April 26, 2026 15:00

Kecskemeti TE PPG 2.15

5-1 MISS

Tiszakecske PPG 1.08

Away· +2.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Kecskemeti TE face Tiszakecske in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kecskemeti TE a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Tiszakecske 22%, so Kecskemeti TE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Kecskemeti TE and 1.0 for Tiszakecske (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kecskemeti TE are averaging 2.15 points per game versus 1.08 for Tiszakecske. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +2.6%. This match finished 5-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.4%

Odds: 1.60 EV: -17.8%

Draw 26.3%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -4.0%

Away 22.3%

Odds: 4.60 EV: +2.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.65 -2.6%

Over 3.5 38.4% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Kecskemeti TE

2.16

Tiszakecske

0.98

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -2.6% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-2.6%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.15) vs P(Home)=51.4%