Today / Hungary - NB II / Kecskemeti TE vs Tiszakecske

Kecskemeti TE vs Tiszakecske Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 27 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 15:00

Kecskemeti TE

PPG 2.15 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Tiszakecske

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.0% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-14.2%0-22.1%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.4%1-19.2%1-24.5%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.1%2-19.9%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.3%3-17.1%3-23.5%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-06.5%4+-16.4%4+-23.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.4% 62.5% 1.60 -17.8%

Draw 26.3% 27.4% 3.65 -4.0%

Away win 22.3% 21.7% 4.60 +2.6%

Over 2.5 59.0% 60.6% 1.65 -2.6%

Over 3.5 38.4% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.5%

H 51% / xG 2.2-1.0 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 2–0 10.1%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 9.4%

#5 3–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kecskemeti TE2.2

Tiszakecske1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 38.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KECSKEMETI TE · PPG 2.15

TISZAKECSKE · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.15) vs P(Home)=51.4%

Win probability 1X2

Kecskemeti TE (H) 51.4%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -17.8%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -4.0%

Tiszakecske (A) 22.3%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +2.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kecskemeti TE face Tiszakecske in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kecskemeti TE a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Tiszakecske 22%, so Kecskemeti TE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Kecskemeti TE and 1.0 for Tiszakecske (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kecskemeti TE are averaging 2.15 points per game versus 1.08 for Tiszakecske. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +2.6%. This match finished 5-1.

Kecskemeti TE vs Tiszakecske Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

More Hungary - NB II Predictions