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Budafoki vs Szeged Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 27 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 15:00

Budafoki

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Szeged

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-113.3%0-27.4%0-32.8%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.1%1-113.5%1-27.5%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.1%2-16.8%2-23.8%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.0%3-12.3%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.5% 40.8% 2.45 -13.0%

Draw 32.1% 32.3% 3.10 -0.5%

Away win 32.5% 38.5% 2.60 -15.5%

Over 2.5 44.4% 48.8% 2.05 -9.0%

Over 3.5 16.5% — — —

BTTS 49.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.8%

D 32% / xG 1.0-1.1 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.0%

#3 0–1 13.3%

#4 1–0 12.1%

#5 1–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Budafoki1.0

Szeged1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 16.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BUDAFOKI · PPG 1.00

SZEGED · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Budafoki (H) 35.5%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -13.0%

Draw 32.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -0.5%

Szeged (A) 32.5%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -15.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Budafoki face Szeged in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Budafoki a 36% chance, the draw 32% and Szeged 33%, so Budafoki are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Budafoki and 1.1 for Szeged (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Budafoki are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.08 for Szeged. This match finished 2-0.

Budafoki vs Szeged Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

More Hungary - NB II Predictions