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Utrecht W vs FC Twente W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Regular Season - 19 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 14:45

Utrecht W

PPG 1.22 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

FC Twente W

PPG 2.22 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.22) vs Home AVERAGE (1.22)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-14.9%0-28.4%0-39.6%0-4+19.9%1 1-01.2%1-14.0%1-26.9%1-37.9%1-4+16.2%2 2-00.5%2-11.6%2-22.8%2-33.2%2-4+6.6%3 3-00.1%3-10.4%3-20.8%3-30.9%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 6.7% — — —

Draw 23.0% — — —

Away win 70.2% — — —

Over 2.5 64.5% — — —

Over 3.5 61.3% — — —

BTTS 57.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 76%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)3.4 BTTS prob57.8%

A 70% / xG 0.8-3.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 9.6%

#2 0–2 8.4%

#3 0–4 8.3%

#4 1–3 7.9%

#5 1–2 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Utrecht W0.8

FC Twente W3.4

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.5% · O3.5 PROB 61.3%

Form & verdict PPG

UTRECHT W · PPG 1.22

FC TWENTE W · PPG 2.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.22) vs Home AVERAGE (1.22)

Win probability 1X2

Utrecht W (H) 6.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FC Twente W (A) 70.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Utrecht W face FC Twente W in Netherlands - Eredivisie Women on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Utrecht W a 7% chance, the draw 23% and FC Twente W 70%, so FC Twente W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Utrecht W and 3.4 for FC Twente W (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Utrecht W are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 2.22 for FC Twente W. This match finished 2-0.

Utrecht W vs FC Twente W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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