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PEC Zwolle W PPG 1.44 
Excelsior W PPG 0.44
PEC Zwolle W vs Excelsior W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women
PEC Zwolle W PPG 1.444-1 MISS
Excelsior W PPG 0.44 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
PEC Zwolle W face Excelsior W in Netherlands - Eredivisie Women on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PEC Zwolle W a 59% chance, the draw 24% and Excelsior W 16%, so PEC Zwolle W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for PEC Zwolle W and 0.8 for Excelsior W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PEC Zwolle W are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.44 for Excelsior W. This match finished 4-1.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 38.9% Odds: — —
BTTS 56.9% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 3-0 ✘
5th 1-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
PEC Zwolle W 2.31
Excelsior W 0.85
Model Suggestion
Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 25 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 76%
O2.5/Under 68%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 56%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.44) vs P(Home)=59.2%