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NAC Breda W vs HERA Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Regular Season - 19 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 14:45

NAC Breda W

PPG 0.67 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

HERA

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-18.7%0-29.5%0-36.9%0-4+6.3%1 1-04.1%1-19.0%1-29.9%1-37.2%1-4+6.5%2 2-02.2%2-14.7%2-25.1%2-33.7%2-4+3.4%3 3-00.7%3-11.6%3-21.8%3-31.3%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 16.0% — — —

Draw 26.2% — — —

Away win 57.8% — — —

Over 2.5 59.0% — — —

Over 3.5 40.2% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 76%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob58.5%

A 58% / xG 1.0-2.2 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 1–2 9.9%

#3 0–2 9.5%

#4 0–1 8.7%

#5 1–3✓ 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NAC Breda W1.0

HERA2.2

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

NAC BREDA W · PPG 0.67

HERA · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.22) vs Home POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

NAC Breda W (H) 16.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

HERA (A) 57.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

NAC Breda W face HERA in Netherlands - Eredivisie Women on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NAC Breda W a 16% chance, the draw 26% and HERA 58%, so HERA are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for NAC Breda W and 2.2 for HERA (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NAC Breda W are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.22 for HERA. This match finished 1-3.

NAC Breda W vs HERA Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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