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RB Bragantino W vs Cruzeiro W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 8 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 14:00

RB Bragantino W

PPG 2.25 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Cruzeiro W

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-14.5%0-24.2%0-32.6%0-4+1.9%1 1-04.5%1-18.3%1-27.8%1-34.9%1-4+3.5%2 2-04.1%2-17.8%2-27.3%2-34.5%2-4+3.2%3 3-02.6%3-14.8%3-24.5%3-32.8%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.4%4+-23.2%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.6% 35.7% 2.80 +5.3%

Draw 29.6% 33.3% 3.00 -11.2%

Away win 32.9% 43.5% 2.30 -24.3%

Over 2.5 60.5% — — —

Over 3.5 51.2% — — —

BTTS 58.5% 60.6% 1.65 -3.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -30.5%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 53%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob58.5%

D 30% / xG 1.9-1.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 1–2 7.8%

#3 2–1 7.8%

#4 2–2✓ 7.3%

#5 1–3 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RB Bragantino W1.9

Cruzeiro W1.9

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 51.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RB BRAGANTINO W · PPG 2.25

CRUZEIRO W · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.25) > Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

RB Bragantino W (H) 37.6%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +5.3%

Draw 29.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -11.2%

Cruzeiro W (A) 32.9%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -24.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

RB Bragantino W face Cruzeiro W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RB Bragantino W a 38% chance, the draw 30% and Cruzeiro W 33%, so RB Bragantino W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for RB Bragantino W and 1.9 for Cruzeiro W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RB Bragantino W are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.67 for Cruzeiro W. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.3%. This match finished 2-2.

RB Bragantino W vs Cruzeiro W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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