Today / Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein / VfL Vichttal vs Bergisch G.

VfL Vichttal vs Bergisch G. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 24 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:30

VfL Vichttal

PPG 2.40 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bergisch G.

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-17.6%0-28.3%0-36.1%0-4+5.5%1 1-04.1%1-18.9%1-29.8%1-37.1%1-4+6.4%2 2-02.4%2-15.2%2-25.7%2-34.1%2-4+3.8%3 3-00.9%3-12.0%3-22.2%3-31.6%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.8%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.7% — — —

Draw 25.5% — — —

Away win 48.8% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob58.5%

A 49% / xG 1.2-2.2 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 1–2 9.8%

#3 0–2 8.3%

#4 1–3 7.1%

#5 0–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VfL Vichttal1.2

Bergisch G.2.2

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VFL VICHTTAL · PPG 2.40

BERGISCH G. · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.40), Away EXCELLENT (2.50)

Win probability 1X2

VfL Vichttal (H) 25.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bergisch G. (A) 48.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

VfL Vichttal face Bergisch G. in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VfL Vichttal a 26% chance, the draw 26% and Bergisch G. 49%, so Bergisch G. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for VfL Vichttal and 2.2 for Bergisch G. (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VfL Vichttal are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 2.50 for Bergisch G.. This match finished 2-1.

VfL Vichttal vs Bergisch G. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

More Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein Predictions