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Konigsdorf vs Bornheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 24 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:30

Konigsdorf

PPG 1.67 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bornheim

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-13.0%0-24.0%0-33.6%0-4+4.8%1 1-02.0%1-15.3%1-27.2%1-36.6%1-4+8.6%2 2-01.8%2-14.8%2-26.5%2-35.9%2-4+7.8%3 3-01.1%3-12.9%3-23.9%3-33.6%3-4+4.7%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-12.0%4+-22.7%4+-32.4%4+-4+3.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.9% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 47.8% — — —

Over 2.5 68.1% — — —

Over 3.5 66.1% — — —

BTTS 65.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.7 BTTS prob65.5%

A 48% / xG 1.8-2.7 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.2%

#2 1–3 6.6%

#3 2–2 6.5%

#4 1–1 5.3%

#5 2–3 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Konigsdorf1.8

Bornheim2.7

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.1% · O3.5 PROB 66.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KONIGSDORF · PPG 1.67

BORNHEIM · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Konigsdorf (H) 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bornheim (A) 47.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Konigsdorf face Bornheim in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Konigsdorf a 28% chance, the draw 24% and Bornheim 48%, so Bornheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Konigsdorf and 2.7 for Bornheim (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Konigsdorf are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.27 for Bornheim. This match finished 3-0.

Konigsdorf vs Bornheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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