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Fortuna Koln B vs Teutonia Weiden Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 24 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:30

Fortuna Koln B

PPG 1.45 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Teutonia Weiden

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.45), Away POOR (0.40) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-11.2%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-05.0%1-14.0%1-21.6%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-08.5%2-16.8%2-22.7%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.8%3-17.8%3-23.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-020.3%4+-116.2%4+-26.5%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.2% — — —

Draw 20.6% — — —

Away win 9.2% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 61.1% — — —

BTTS 57.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)3.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob57.8%

H 70% / xG 3.4-0.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 9.8%

#2 2–0 8.5%

#3 4–0 8.4%

#4 3–1 7.8%

#5 2–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fortuna Koln B3.4

Teutonia Weiden0.8

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 61.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FORTUNA KOLN B · PPG 1.45

TEUTONIA WEIDEN · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.45), Away POOR (0.40) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Fortuna Koln B (H) 70.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Teutonia Weiden (A) 9.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fortuna Koln B face Teutonia Weiden in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fortuna Koln B a 70% chance, the draw 21% and Teutonia Weiden 9%, so Fortuna Koln B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Fortuna Koln B and 0.8 for Teutonia Weiden (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fortuna Koln B are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 0.40 for Teutonia Weiden. This match finished 3-3.

Fortuna Koln B vs Teutonia Weiden Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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