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E. Hohkeppel vs Siegburger Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 24 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:30

E. Hohkeppel

PPG 2.58 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Siegburger

PPG 2.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-14.6%0-25.4%0-34.2%0-4+4.2%1 1-03.1%1-17.3%1-28.6%1-36.7%1-4+6.8%2 2-02.5%2-15.8%2-26.8%2-35.3%2-4+5.4%3 3-01.3%3-13.1%3-23.6%3-32.8%3-4+2.8%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.7%4+-22.0%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.3% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 47.0% — — —

Over 2.5 60.6% — — —

Over 3.5 55.2% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob58.5%

A 47% / xG 1.6-2.3 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.6%

#2 1–1✓ 7.3%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 1–3 6.7%

#5 2–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

E. Hohkeppel1.6

Siegburger2.3

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.6% · O3.5 PROB 55.2%

Form & verdict PPG

E. HOHKEPPEL · PPG 2.58

SIEGBURGER · PPG 2.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.58), Away EXCELLENT (2.82)

Win probability 1X2

E. Hohkeppel (H) 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Siegburger (A) 47.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

E. Hohkeppel face Siegburger in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives E. Hohkeppel a 28% chance, the draw 25% and Siegburger 47%, so Siegburger are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for E. Hohkeppel and 2.3 for Siegburger (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, E. Hohkeppel are averaging 2.58 points per game versus 2.82 for Siegburger. This match finished 1-1.

E. Hohkeppel vs Siegburger Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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