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RW Walldorf vs KSV Baunatal Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 29 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:30

RW Walldorf

PPG 1.60 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

KSV Baunatal

PPG 1.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-11.4%0-22.2%0-32.2%0-4+3.6%1 1-01.1%1-13.2%1-25.0%1-35.1%1-4+8.4%2 2-01.2%2-13.8%2-25.8%2-35.9%2-4+9.8%3 3-00.9%3-12.9%3-24.5%3-34.6%3-4+7.5%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.9%4+-24.5%4+-34.6%4+-4+7.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.9% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 45.0% — — —

Over 2.5 79.5% — — —

Over 3.5 78.6% — — —

BTTS 65.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)3.1 BTTS prob65.5%

A 45% / xG 2.3-3.1 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–3 5.9%

#2 2–2 5.8%

#3 1–3 5.1%

#4 1–2 5.0%

#5 3–3 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RW Walldorf2.3

KSV Baunatal3.1

COMBINED 5.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.5% · O3.5 PROB 78.6%

Form & verdict PPG

RW WALLDORF · PPG 1.60

KSV BAUNATAL · PPG 1.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.64)

Win probability 1X2

RW Walldorf (H) 33.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

KSV Baunatal (A) 45.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

RW Walldorf face KSV Baunatal in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RW Walldorf a 34% chance, the draw 21% and KSV Baunatal 45%, so KSV Baunatal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for RW Walldorf and 3.1 for KSV Baunatal (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-3. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RW Walldorf are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.64 for KSV Baunatal. This match finished 1-1.

RW Walldorf vs KSV Baunatal Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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