Regensburg vs Alemannia A. Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 34 Jahnstadion Regensburg· Regensburg Friday, April 17, 2026 17:00

Regensburg PPG 1.69

1-3 MISS

Alemannia A. PPG 1.71

Away· +20.7% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Regensburg face Alemannia A. in Germany - 3. Liga on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Regensburg a 26% chance, the draw 22% and Alemannia A. 52%, so Alemannia A. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Regensburg and 2.0 for Alemannia A. (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Regensburg are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.71 for Alemannia A.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.7%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 26.2%

Odds: 2.75 EV: -28.0%

Draw 22.0%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -20.8%

Away 51.8%

Odds: 2.33 EV: +20.7%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.60 +2.2%

Over 3.5 41.8% Odds: 2.50 +4.5%

BTTS 63.3% Odds: 1.48 -6.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Regensburg

1.34

Alemannia A.

1.95

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +2.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Away(+20.7%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5/Under 70%

BTTS/No 65%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 12.3%

Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.69), Away GOOD (1.71)