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Midlands Wand. vs Venda FC Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Regular Season - 27 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:00

Midlands Wand.

PPG 1.54 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Venda FC

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.4%0-110.5%0-23.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.9%1-112.1%1-23.7%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.4%2-16.9%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.3%3-12.6%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.0%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.3% 45.5% 2.20 -0.3%

Draw 30.4% 36.4% 2.75 -16.4%

Away win 24.4% 30.3% 3.30 -19.5%

Over 2.5 38.0% — — —

Over 3.5 10.1% — — —

BTTS 46.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 19.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.8%

H 45% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.4%

#2 1–0✓ 19.9%

#3 1–1 12.1%

#4 2–0 11.4%

#5 0–1 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Midlands Wand.1.1

Venda FC0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MIDLANDS WAND. · PPG 1.54

VENDA FC · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Midlands Wand. (H) 45.3%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -0.3%

Draw 30.4%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -16.4%

Venda FC (A) 24.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -19.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Midlands Wand. face Venda FC in South-Africa - 1st Division on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Midlands Wand. a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Venda FC 24%, so Midlands Wand. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Midlands Wand. and 0.6 for Venda FC (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Midlands Wand. are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.08 for Venda FC. This match finished 1-0.

Midlands Wand. vs Venda FC Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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