Today / Union Gurten vs St. Anna

Union Gurten vs St. Anna Prediction

Mitte - 23 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 17:00

Union Gurten logo
Union Gurten
PPG 2.00 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
St. Anna logo
St. Anna
PPG 0.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.45) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-11.3%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-08.2%1-14.0%1-21.0%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-013.0%2-16.4%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.7%3-16.7%3-21.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-023.7%4+-111.6%4+-22.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 88.3%
Draw 8.5%
Away win 3.2%
Over 2.5 70.5%
Over 3.5 49.4%
BTTS 37.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 81%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)3.2 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob37.1%

H 88% / xG 3.2-0.5 / O2.5 70% / NoBTTS 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 13.7%
#2 2–0 13.0%
#3 4–0 10.8%
#4 1–0 8.2%
#5 5–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Union Gurten3.2
St. Anna0.5

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.5% · O3.5 PROB 49.4%

Form & verdict PPG

UNION GURTEN · PPG 2.00

ST. ANNA · PPG 0.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.45) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Union Gurten (H) 88.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 8.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
St. Anna (A) 3.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Union Gurten face St. Anna on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Union Gurten a 88% chance, the draw 9% and St. Anna 3%, so Union Gurten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Union Gurten and 0.5 for St. Anna (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Union Gurten are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.45 for St. Anna. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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