Today / Gleisdorf vs LASK Amateure

Gleisdorf vs LASK Amateure Prediction

Mitte - 23 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 17:00

Gleisdorf logo
Gleisdorf
PPG 0.91 · HOME
1 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY
LASK Amateure logo
LASK Amateure
PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Home weakness: POOR (0.91) vs Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-14.2%0-27.5%0-39.0%0-4+20.5%1 1-01.0%1-13.6%1-26.5%1-37.7%1-4+17.6%2 2-00.4%2-11.5%2-22.8%2-33.3%2-4+7.5%3 3-00.1%3-10.4%3-20.8%3-30.9%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 5.0%
Draw 8.7%
Away win 86.3%
Over 2.5 82.1%
Over 3.5 64.9%
BTTS 56.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 74%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-3
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)3.6 BTTS prob56.0%

A 86% / xG 0.9-3.6 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 9.0%
#2 0–4 8.1%
#3 1–3 7.7%
#4 0–2 7.5%
#5 1–4 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gleisdorf0.9
LASK Amateure3.6

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.1% · O3.5 PROB 64.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GLEISDORF · PPG 0.91

LASK AMATEURE · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.91) vs Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Gleisdorf (H) 5.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 8.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
LASK Amateure (A) 86.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gleisdorf face LASK Amateure on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gleisdorf a 5% chance, the draw 9% and LASK Amateure 86%, so LASK Amateure are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Gleisdorf and 3.6 for LASK Amateure (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gleisdorf are averaging 0.91 points per game versus 1.40 for LASK Amateure. This match finished 1-3.

PredictVantage

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