SSV Merten vs SF Duren Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein Mittelrhein - 24 MerKur Kunstrasenplatz· Bornheim Sunday, April 26, 2026 14:00

SSV Merten PPG 2.18

6-0 MISS

SF Duren PPG 0.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

SSV Merten face SF Duren in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SSV Merten a 70% chance, the draw 21% and SF Duren 9%, so SSV Merten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.7 for SSV Merten and 1.0 for SF Duren (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SSV Merten are averaging 2.18 points per game versus 0.36 for SF Duren. This match finished 6-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 70.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 20.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 9.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.1% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 68.8% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 4-1 ✘

4th 4-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

SSV Merten

3.67

SF Duren

1.01

Model SuggestionHome  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.18), Away POOR (0.36) - Strong consensus