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Eddersheim vs TuBa Pohlheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 29 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:00

Eddersheim

PPG 2.46 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

TuBa Pohlheim

PPG 1.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.9%0-22.7%0-31.7%0-4+1.3%1 1-03.5%1-16.6%1-26.3%1-33.9%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.0%2-17.6%2-27.2%2-34.5%2-4+3.3%3 3-03.1%3-15.8%3-25.5%3-33.5%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-15.7%4+-25.4%4+-33.4%4+-4+2.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.2% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 28.5% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 60.1% — — —

BTTS 60.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob60.8%

H 47% / xG 2.3-1.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.6%

#2 2–1 7.6%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 1–2✓ 6.3%

#5 3–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eddersheim2.3

TuBa Pohlheim1.9

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 60.1%

Form & verdict PPG

EDDERSHEIM · PPG 2.46

TUBA POHLHEIM · PPG 1.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.46) > Away GOOD (1.69)

Win probability 1X2

Eddersheim (H) 47.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

TuBa Pohlheim (A) 28.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eddersheim face TuBa Pohlheim in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eddersheim a 47% chance, the draw 24% and TuBa Pohlheim 28%, so Eddersheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Eddersheim and 1.9 for TuBa Pohlheim (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eddersheim are averaging 2.46 points per game versus 1.69 for TuBa Pohlheim. This match finished 1-2.

Eddersheim vs TuBa Pohlheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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