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CSC 03 Kassel vs Waldgirmes Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 29 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:00

CSC 03 Kassel

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Waldgirmes

PPG 0.77 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-14.7%0-24.4%0-32.8%0-4+2.0%1 1-04.6%1-18.5%1-28.0%1-35.0%1-4+3.6%2 2-04.1%2-17.7%2-27.2%2-34.5%2-4+3.2%3 3-02.5%3-14.6%3-24.3%3-32.7%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-13.2%4+-23.0%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.6% — — —

Draw 29.6% — — —

Away win 32.9% — — —

Over 2.5 60.5% — — —

Over 3.5 50.2% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob58.5%

D 30% / xG 1.8-1.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 1–2 8.0%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 1–3 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CSC 03 Kassel1.8

Waldgirmes1.9

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 50.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CSC 03 KASSEL · PPG 1.00

WALDGIRMES · PPG 0.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.77)

Win probability 1X2

CSC 03 Kassel (H) 37.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Waldgirmes (A) 32.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

CSC 03 Kassel face Waldgirmes in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CSC 03 Kassel a 38% chance, the draw 30% and Waldgirmes 33%, so CSC 03 Kassel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for CSC 03 Kassel and 1.9 for Waldgirmes (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CSC 03 Kassel are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.77 for Waldgirmes. This match finished 0-2.

CSC 03 Kassel vs Waldgirmes Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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