Liverpool W vs West Ham W Prediction— England - FA WSL

England - FA WSL Regular Season - 20 St Helens Stadium· St Helens Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Liverpool W PPG 1.33

0-1 MISS

West Ham W PPG 0.33

Draw· +8.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Liverpool W face West Ham W in England - FA WSL on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Liverpool W a 50% chance, the draw 28% and West Ham W 22%, so Liverpool W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Liverpool W and 0.8 for West Ham W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Liverpool W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.33 for West Ham W. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +8.3%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.7%

Odds: 1.64 EV: -18.5%

Draw 28.5%

Odds: 3.80 EV: +8.3%

Away 21.8%

Odds: 4.60 EV: +0.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.5% Odds: 1.80 -9.1%

Over 3.5 27.1% Odds: 3.00 -18.7%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.75 -8.0%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Liverpool W

1.82

West Ham W

0.81

Model SuggestionBTTS -8.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+8.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs P(Home)=49.7%