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Liverpool W vs West Ham W Prediction— England - FA WSL

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:00

Liverpool W

PPG 1.33 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

West Ham W

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-15.8%0-22.4%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-013.1%1-110.6%1-24.3%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-012.0%2-19.7%2-23.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.3%3-15.9%3-22.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-14.1%4+-21.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.7% 61.0% 1.64 -18.5%

Draw 28.5% 26.3% 3.80 +8.3%

Away win 21.8% 21.7% 4.60 +0.3%

Over 2.5 50.5% 55.6% 1.80 -9.1%

Over 3.5 27.1% 33.3% 3.00 -18.7%

BTTS 52.6% 57.1% 1.75 -8.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -1.3%

Bet Hit 74%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 50% / xG 1.8-0.8 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–0 12.0%

#3 1–0 13.1%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Liverpool W1.8

West Ham W0.8

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.1%

Form & verdict PPG

LIVERPOOL W · PPG 1.33

WEST HAM W · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs P(Home)=49.7%

Win probability 1X2

Liverpool W (H) 49.7%

ODDS 1.64 · IMPLIED 61.0% EV -18.5%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +8.3%

West Ham W (A) 21.8%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +0.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Liverpool W face West Ham W in England - FA WSL on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Liverpool W a 50% chance, the draw 28% and West Ham W 22%, so Liverpool W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Liverpool W and 0.8 for West Ham W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Liverpool W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.33 for West Ham W. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +8.3%. This match finished 0-1.

Liverpool W vs West Ham W Prediction— England - FA WSL

Match Preview & Prediction

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