Widzew Lodz vs Motor Lublin Prediction— Poland - Ekstraklasa

Poland - Ekstraklasa Regular Season - 30 Stadion Widzewa Lodz· Lodz Sunday, April 26, 2026 12:45

Widzew Lodz PPG 1.57

2-0 HIT CS3

Motor Lublin PPG 1.14

Over2.5· +8.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Widzew Lodz face Motor Lublin in Poland - Ekstraklasa on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Widzew Lodz a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Motor Lublin 25%, so Widzew Lodz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Widzew Lodz and 1.1 for Motor Lublin (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Widzew Lodz are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.14 for Motor Lublin. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.0%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.3%

Odds: 1.81 EV: -16.2%

Draw 28.3%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +1.9%

Away 25.4%

Odds: 4.20 EV: +6.7%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.83 +8.0%

Over 3.5 32.3% Odds: 3.10 +0.1%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.73 +1.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✔

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Widzew Lodz

1.73

Motor Lublin

1.13

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +8.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 55%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -16.8%

Bet Hit 44% (18 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)