Lausanne Ouchy vs Yverdon Prediction— Switzerland - Challenge League

Switzerland - Challenge League Regular Season - 32 Stade Olympique de la Pontaise· Lausanne Sunday, April 26, 2026 12:00

Lausanne Ouchy PPG 1.33

0-3 MISS

Yverdon PPG 1.67

Over3.5· +30.8% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Lausanne Ouchy face Yverdon in Switzerland - Challenge League on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lausanne Ouchy a 34% chance, the draw 28% and Yverdon 39%, so Yverdon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Lausanne Ouchy and 2.1 for Yverdon (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lausanne Ouchy are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.67 for Yverdon. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +30.8%. This match finished 0-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.7%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -24.2%

Draw 27.7%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -0.3%

Away 38.6%

Odds: 2.62 EV: +1.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: 1.62 -2.0%

Over 3.5 50.3% Odds: 2.60 +30.8%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.50 -12.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Lausanne Ouchy

1.60

Yverdon

2.08

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -2.0% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-2.0%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.33) vs Away GOOD (1.67)