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Odishi 1919 vs Telavi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 12:00

Odishi 1919

PPG 1.67 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Telavi

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-16.3%0-21.9%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.0%1-110.5%1-23.2%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.1%2-18.7%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.9%3-14.9%3-21.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.8%4+-12.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.7% — — —

Draw 29.1% — — —

Away win 20.2% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 19.8% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob49.5%

H 51% / xG 1.7-0.6 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.0%

#2 2–0 14.1%

#3 1–1 10.5%

#4 0–0 10.2%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odishi 19191.7

Telavi0.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 19.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ODISHI 1919 · PPG 1.67

TELAVI · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Odishi 1919 (H) 50.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Telavi (A) 20.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Odishi 1919 face Telavi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odishi 1919 a 51% chance, the draw 29% and Telavi 20%, so Odishi 1919 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Odishi 1919 and 0.6 for Telavi (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odishi 1919 are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.33 for Telavi. This match finished 3-1.

Odishi 1919 vs Telavi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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