Viktoria Koln vs Energie Cottbus Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 35 Sportpark Hohenberg· Cologne Sunday, April 26, 2026 11:30

Viktoria Koln PPG 1.59

0-2 HIT CS5

Energie Cottbus PPG 1.63

Home· +9.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Viktoria Koln face Energie Cottbus in Germany - 3. Liga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viktoria Koln a 34% chance, the draw 28% and Energie Cottbus 38%, so Energie Cottbus are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Viktoria Koln and 1.9 for Energie Cottbus (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viktoria Koln are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.63 for Energie Cottbus. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +9.8%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.3%

Odds: 3.20 EV: +9.8%

Draw 28.2%

Odds: 3.75 EV: +5.8%

Away 37.5%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -23.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.57 -7.4%

Over 3.5 42.3% Odds: 2.40 +1.5%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.48 -13.4%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Viktoria Koln

1.46

Energie Cottbus

1.86

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -7.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+9.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5/Under 70%

BTTS/No 65%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 12.3%

Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.59), Away GOOD (1.63)