Paderborn vs Schalke 04 Prediction & Tips

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Germany - 2. Bundesliga Regular Season - 31 Home Deluxe Arena· Paderborn Sunday, April 26, 2026 11:30

Paderborn PPG 2.13

2-3 MISS

Schalke 04 PPG 1.67

Draw· +3.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.3%

Odds: 2.33 EV: -15.4%

Draw 31.7%

Odds: 3.25 EV: +3.0%

Away 32.1%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -3.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 1.75 -12.5%

Over 3.5 23.6% Odds: 2.75 -35.1%

BTTS 53.5% Odds: 1.55 -17.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Paderborn

1.22

Schalke 04

1.25

Model SuggestionBTTS -17.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -17.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+3.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 59%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -47.1%

Bet Hit 33% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.13) > Away GOOD (1.67)