Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 60.6% Odds: 1.55 -6.1%
Over 3.5 55.3% Odds: 2.35 +30.0%
BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.53 -10.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✔
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 3-1 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 2-2 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -6.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-6.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away POOR (0.93)