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Germany - 2. Bundesliga logo Germany flag Germany - 2. Bundesliga Regular Season - 31 Vonovia Ruhrstadion· Bochum Sunday, April 26, 2026 11:30
Bochum logo Bochum PPG 1.67
2-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Greuther Furth logo Greuther Furth PPG 0.93
Over3.5· +30.0% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.3%
Odds: 1.68 EV: -15.5%
Draw 24.3%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -0.4%
Away 25.4%
Odds: 4.40 EV: +11.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.6% Odds: 1.55 -6.1%
Over 3.5 55.3% Odds: 2.35 +30.0%
BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.53 -10.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 3-1
4th 2-0
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Bochum
2.53
Greuther Furth
1.40

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -6.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-6.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away POOR (0.93)

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