Everton W vs Chelsea W Prediction— England - FA WSL

England - FA WSL Regular Season - 20 Goodison Park· Liverpool Sunday, April 26, 2026 11:00

Everton W PPG 0.67

1-4 MISS

Chelsea W PPG 1.78

Home· +132.0% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Everton W face Chelsea W in England - FA WSL on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Everton W a 14% chance, the draw 24% and Chelsea W 61%, so Chelsea W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Everton W and 2.4 for Chelsea W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Everton W are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.78 for Chelsea W. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +132.0%. This match finished 1-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 14.5%

Odds: 16.00 EV: +132.0%

Draw 24.2%

Odds: 5.75 EV: +39.1%

Away 61.3%

Odds: 1.17 EV: -28.3%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.48 -12.7%

Over 3.5 40.6% Odds: 2.15 -12.7%

BTTS 57.2% Odds: 2.10 +20.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-3 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Everton W

0.84

Chelsea W

2.40

Model SuggestionAway -28.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-28.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5/Under 58%

BTTS/No 42%

Score Hit 42%

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.78) vs Home POOR (0.67)