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Ajax W vs Feyenoord W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Regular Season - 19 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 10:15

Ajax W

PPG 2.44 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Feyenoord W

PPG 1.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-16.1%0-23.6%0-31.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.1%1-110.8%1-26.5%1-32.6%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.1%2-19.7%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.8%3-15.8%3-23.4%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-13.8%4+-22.3%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.3% — — —

Draw 28.3% — — —

Away win 25.4% — — —

Over 2.5 59.0% — — —

Over 3.5 34.8% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 76%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob58.5%

H 46% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.1%

#4 1–0 9.1%

#5 0–0✓ 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ajax W1.8

Feyenoord W1.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 34.8%

Form & verdict PPG

AJAX W · PPG 2.44

FEYENOORD W · PPG 1.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.44) > Away GOOD (1.89)

Win probability 1X2

Ajax W (H) 46.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Feyenoord W (A) 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ajax W face Feyenoord W in Netherlands - Eredivisie Women on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ajax W a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Feyenoord W 25%, so Ajax W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Ajax W and 1.2 for Feyenoord W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ajax W are averaging 2.44 points per game versus 1.89 for Feyenoord W. This match finished 0-0.

Ajax W vs Feyenoord W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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