Katowice vs Motor Lublin Prediction & Tips

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Poland - Ekstraklasa Regular Season - 29 Stadion miejski w Katowicach· Katowice Friday, April 17, 2026 16:00

Katowice PPG 1.86

3-2 MISS

Motor Lublin PPG 1.23

Away· +44.0% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.2%

Odds: 2.00 EV: -35.6%

Draw 24.7%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -9.8%

Away 43.0%

Odds: 3.35 EV: +44.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.7% Odds: 1.65 -9.7%

Over 3.5 32.4% Odds: 2.62 -15.1%

BTTS 57.7% Odds: 1.57 -9.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Katowice

1.31

Motor Lublin

1.56

Model SuggestionBTTS -9.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+44.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.86) > Away AVERAGE (1.23)