Today / Hegelmann L. vs Riteriai

Hegelmann L. vs Riteriai Prediction

Friday, April 17, 2026

Hegelmann L.

PPG 1.20 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Riteriai

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-16.0%0-21.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-019.6%1-19.7%1-22.4%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.8%2-17.8%2-21.9%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-08.5%3-14.2%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-12.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.1% — — —

Draw 23.9% — — —

Away win 11.0% — — —

Over 2.5 35.3% — — —

Over 3.5 16.3% — — —

BTTS 31.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob31.2%

H 65% / xG 1.6-0.5 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 31%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 19.6%

#2 2–0 15.8%

#3 0–0✓ 12.1%

#4 1–1 9.7%

#5 3–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hegelmann L.1.6

Riteriai0.5

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.3% · O3.5 PROB 16.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HEGELMANN L. · PPG 1.20

RITERIAI · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Hegelmann L. (H) 65.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Riteriai (A) 11.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hegelmann L. face Riteriai on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hegelmann L. a 65% chance, the draw 24% and Riteriai 11%, so Hegelmann L. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Hegelmann L. and 0.5 for Riteriai (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 31% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hegelmann L. are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.00 for Riteriai. This match finished 0-0.

Hegelmann L. vs Riteriai Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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