Today / Pipinsried vs Kottern

Pipinsried vs Kottern Prediction

Bayern Süd - 30 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 16:00

Pipinsried

PPG 1.42 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kottern

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.42) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-17.9%0-24.3%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.3%1-112.2%1-26.6%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.6%2-19.3%2-25.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.4%3-14.7%3-22.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.5%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.7% — — —

Draw 25.5% — — —

Away win 26.8% — — —

Over 2.5 48.4% — — —

Over 3.5 26.6% — — —

BTTS 51.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob51.8%

H 48% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–0 11.3%

#3 2–1 9.3%

#4 2–0 8.6%

#5 0–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pipinsried1.5

Kottern1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.4% · O3.5 PROB 26.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PIPINSRIED · PPG 1.42

KOTTERN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.42) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Pipinsried (H) 47.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kottern (A) 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pipinsried face Kottern on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pipinsried a 48% chance, the draw 26% and Kottern 27%, so Pipinsried are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Pipinsried and 1.1 for Kottern (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pipinsried are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.00 for Kottern. This match finished 4-1.

Pipinsried vs Kottern Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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