Today / Bosnia - Premijer Liga / Siroki Brijeg vs Rudar Prijedor

Siroki Brijeg vs Rudar Prijedor Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Regular Season - 29 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 16:00

Siroki Brijeg

PPG 1.71 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Rudar Prijedor

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-112.1%0-26.5%0-32.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.5%1-113.4%1-27.2%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.0%2-17.5%2-24.0%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.6%3-12.8%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 54.1% 1.85 -32.7%

Draw 29.3% 34.5% 2.90 -15.0%

Away win 34.3% 25.0% 4.00 +37.2%

Over 2.5 37.2% — — —

Over 3.5 17.7% — — —

BTTS 44.1% 50.0% 2.00 -11.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -11.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob44.1%

D 29% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 1–0 12.5%

#3 0–1✓ 12.1%

#4 0–0 11.3%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Siroki Brijeg1.1

Rudar Prijedor1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SIROKI BRIJEG · PPG 1.71

RUDAR PRIJEDOR · PPG 0.57

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=36.4%

Win probability 1X2

Siroki Brijeg (H) 36.4%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -32.7%

Draw 29.3%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -15.0%

Rudar Prijedor (A) 34.3%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +37.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Siroki Brijeg face Rudar Prijedor in Bosnia - Premijer Liga on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Siroki Brijeg a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Rudar Prijedor 34%, so Siroki Brijeg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Siroki Brijeg and 1.1 for Rudar Prijedor (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Siroki Brijeg are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.57 for Rudar Prijedor. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +37.2%. This match finished 0-1.

Siroki Brijeg vs Rudar Prijedor Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Bosnia - Premijer Liga Predictions