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Floridsdorfer vs Amstetten Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Austria - 2. Liga logo Austria flag Austria - 2. Liga Regular Season - 26 FAC-Platz· Vienna Friday, April 17, 2026 16:00
Floridsdorfer logo Floridsdorfer PPG 1.33
5-0 MISS
Amstetten logo Amstetten PPG 1.67
Draw· +0.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Floridsdorfer face Amstetten in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Floridsdorfer a 39% chance, the draw 31% and Amstetten 30%, so Floridsdorfer are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Floridsdorfer and 0.9 for Amstetten (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Floridsdorfer are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.67 for Amstetten. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.2%. This match finished 5-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.6%
Odds: 2.33 EV: -10.1%
Draw 31.3%
Odds: 3.20 EV: +0.2%
Away 30.1%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -12.7%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 30.7% Odds: 2.05 -37.1%
Over 3.5 13.2% Odds: 3.65 -51.8%
BTTS 38.3% Odds: 1.77 -32.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Floridsdorfer
1.05
Amstetten
0.89

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 59%
Score Hit 56%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.33) vs Away GOOD (1.67)

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