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Floridsdorfer vs Amstetten Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Regular Season - 26 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 16:00

Floridsdorfer

PPG 1.33 · HOME

5 – 0

FULL TIME

Amstetten

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.4%0-112.8%0-25.7%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.1%1-113.4%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.9%2-17.1%2-23.1%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.8%3-12.5%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.6% 42.9% 2.33 -10.1%

Draw 31.3% 31.3% 3.20 +0.2%

Away win 30.1% 34.5% 2.90 -12.7%

Over 2.5 30.7% 48.8% 2.05 -37.1%

Over 3.5 13.2% 27.4% 3.65 -51.8%

BTTS 38.3% 56.5% 1.77 -32.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -31.5%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob38.3%

D 31% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 31% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.1%

#2 0–0 14.4%

#3 1–1 13.4%

#4 0–1 12.8%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Floridsdorfer1.1

Amstetten0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 30.7% · O3.5 PROB 13.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FLORIDSDORFER · PPG 1.33

AMSTETTEN · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.33) vs Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Floridsdorfer (H) 38.6%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV -10.1%

Draw 31.3%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +0.2%

Amstetten (A) 30.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -12.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Floridsdorfer face Amstetten in Austria - 2. Liga on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Floridsdorfer a 39% chance, the draw 31% and Amstetten 30%, so Floridsdorfer are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Floridsdorfer and 0.9 for Amstetten (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Floridsdorfer are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.67 for Amstetten. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.2%. This match finished 5-0.

Floridsdorfer vs Amstetten Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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