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Pulau Pinang vs Sabah Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 23 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 12:15

Pulau Pinang

PPG 0.90 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Sabah

PPG 0.90 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.0% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-16.5%0-24.9%0-32.5%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.0%1-110.6%1-28.0%1-34.1%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.7%2-18.7%2-26.6%2-33.3%2-4+1.8%3 3-03.1%3-14.7%3-23.6%3-31.8%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.8%4+-22.1%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.7% 52.6% 1.90 -26.5%

Draw 30.5% 28.6% 3.50 +6.8%

Away win 30.8% 28.6% 3.50 +7.8%

Over 2.5 59.0% 60.6% 1.65 -2.6%

Over 3.5 38.9% 38.5% 2.60 +1.1%

BTTS 58.5% 64.5% 1.55 -9.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob58.5%

D 30% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–0✓ 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pulau Pinang1.6

Sabah1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 38.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PULAU PINANG · PPG 0.90

SABAH · PPG 0.90

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.90), Away POOR (0.90)

Win probability 1X2

Pulau Pinang (H) 38.7%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -26.5%

Draw 30.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +6.8%

Sabah (A) 30.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +7.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pulau Pinang face Sabah in Malaysia - Super League on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pulau Pinang a 39% chance, the draw 31% and Sabah 31%, so Pulau Pinang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Pulau Pinang and 1.5 for Sabah (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pulau Pinang are averaging 0.90 points per game versus 0.90 for Sabah. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +7.8%. This match finished 0-0.

Pulau Pinang vs Sabah Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Malaysia - Super League Predictions