Admira Wacker vs Sturm Graz B Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Austria - 2. Liga Regular Season - 27 Max-Aicher-Stadion· Salzburg Sunday, April 26, 2026 08:30

Admira Wacker PPG 1.92

2-1 HIT CS3

Sturm Graz B PPG 1.25

Over3.5· +35.4% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Admira Wacker face Sturm Graz B in Austria - 2. Liga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Admira Wacker a 64% chance, the draw 22% and Sturm Graz B 14%, so Admira Wacker are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Admira Wacker and 0.8 for Sturm Graz B (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Admira Wacker are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.25 for Sturm Graz B. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +35.4%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.8%

Odds: 1.53 EV: -2.4%

Draw 21.8%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -17.2%

Away 14.4%

Odds: 5.75 EV: -17.2%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: 1.80 +8.9%

Over 3.5 45.9% Odds: 2.95 +35.4%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.80 -5.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✔

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Admira Wacker

2.71

Sturm Graz B

0.77

Model SuggestionHome -2.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-2.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 53%

BTTS/No 59%

Score Hit 56%

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.92) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)