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Al Salt vs Al Faysali Prediction— Jordan - League

Regular Season - 24 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 15:00

Al Salt

PPG 1.09 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Al Faysali

PPG 1.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 65.6% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5% — a clear edge.

+16.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-112.8%0-212.6%0-38.2%0-4+6.3%1 1-05.0%1-19.8%1-29.6%1-36.3%1-4+4.9%2 2-01.9%2-13.8%2-23.7%2-32.4%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.5%3-11.0%3-20.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.7% 21.7% 4.60 -37.0%

Draw 20.7% 32.3% 3.10 -35.8%

Away win 65.6% 56.5% 1.77 +16.1%

Over 2.5 51.3% 47.6% 2.10 +7.7%

Over 3.5 29.2% 26.7% 3.75 +9.5%

BTTS 46.0% 52.6% 1.90 -12.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 34.6%

Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob46.0%

A 66% / xG 0.8-2.0 / O2.5 51% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1✓ 12.8%

#2 0–2 12.6%

#3 1–1 9.8%

#4 1–2 9.6%

#5 0–3 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Salt0.8

Al Faysali2.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.3% · O3.5 PROB 29.2%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SALT · PPG 1.09

AL FAYSALI · PPG 1.91

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.91) vs Home AVERAGE (1.09)

Win probability 1X2

Al Salt (H) 13.7%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -37.0%

Draw 20.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -35.8%

Al Faysali (A) 65.6%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV +16.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Salt face Al Faysali in Jordan - League on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Salt a 14% chance, the draw 21% and Al Faysali 66%, so Al Faysali are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Al Salt and 2.0 for Al Faysali (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Salt are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 1.91 for Al Faysali. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +16.1%. This match finished 0-1.

Al Salt vs Al Faysali Prediction— Jordan - League

Match Preview & Prediction

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