SM San Juan face Quilmes on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SM San Juan a 53% chance, the draw 28% and Quilmes 19%, so SM San Juan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for SM San Juan and 0.7 for Quilmes (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SM San Juan are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.80 for Quilmes. This match finished 1-0.
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.80)