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Estudiantes vs T. de Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Apertura · Matchday 16 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 20:00

Estudiantes

PPG 2.14 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWLD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

T. de Cordoba

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLDD

// Model verdict

Home 52% chance

Model probability 69.7% vs bookmaker-implied 44.6% — a clear edge.

+56.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-14.8%0-20.8%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-023.1%1-17.7%1-21.3%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-018.6%2-16.2%2-21.0%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-010.0%3-13.3%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-11.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.7% 44.6% 2.24 +56.1%

Draw 23.1% 33.3% 3.00 -30.7%

Away win 7.2% 29.0% 3.45 -75.2%

Over 2.5 30.8% 37.0% 2.70 -16.8%

Over 3.5 13.3% 18.2% 5.50 -26.9%

BTTS 22.6% 46.5% 2.15 -51.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 137 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -5.7%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob22.6%

H 70% / xG 1.6-0.3 / U2.5 31% / NoBTTS 23%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 23.1%

#2 2–0 18.6%

#3 0–0✓ 14.3%

#4 3–0 10.0%

#5 1–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Estudiantes1.6

T. de Cordoba0.3

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 30.8% · O3.5 PROB 13.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ESTUDIANTES · PPG 2.14

T. DE CORDOBA · PPG 1.57

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

Chance this pick lands

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.14) > Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Estudiantes (H) 69.7%

ODDS 2.24 · IMPLIED 44.6% EV +56.1%

Draw 23.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -30.7%

T. de Cordoba (A) 7.2%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -75.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Estudiantes face T. de Cordoba in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Estudiantes a 70% chance, the draw 23% and T. de Cordoba 7%, so Estudiantes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Estudiantes and 0.3 for T. de Cordoba (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 23% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Estudiantes are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 1.57 for T. de Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +56.1%. This match finished 0-0.

Estudiantes vs T. de Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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