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France - Ligue 1 logo France flag France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 31 Stadium de Toulouse· Toulouse Saturday, April 25, 2026 19:05
Toulouse logo Toulouse PPG 1.33
2-2 HIT CS4
Monaco logo Monaco PPG 1.29
Home· +78.8% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.0%
Odds: 3.65 EV: +78.8%
Draw 22.0%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -17.5%
Away 28.9%
Odds: 1.89 EV: -45.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.8% Odds: 1.62 +6.6%
Over 3.5 44.0% Odds: 2.55 +12.2%
BTTS 65.6% Odds: 1.55 +1.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Toulouse
1.94
Monaco
1.45

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +6.6% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home(+78.8%)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

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