← Back to picks
Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura logo Uruguay flag Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Apertura - 13 Saturday, April 25, 2026 18:30
D. Maldonado logo D. Maldonado PPG 3.00
1-2 MISS
Albion logo Albion PPG 1.80
Home· +28.0% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.9%
Odds: 2.25 EV: +28.0%
Draw 23.3%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -27.8%
Away 19.8%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -38.6%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.7% Odds: 2.20 +11.5%
Over 3.5 28.7% Odds: 4.20 +20.5%
BTTS 50.5% Odds: 1.85 -6.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

D. Maldonado
1.77
Albion
0.94

Model Suggestion

Home +28.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=56.9%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org