Today / A. Quilmes vs Camioneros

A. Quilmes vs Camioneros Prediction

Saturday, April 25, 2026

A. Quilmes

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Camioneros

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-023.2%0-114.9%0-24.8%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-019.0%1-112.2%1-23.9%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.7%2-15.0%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.1%3-11.4%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.5% — — —

Draw 37.1% — — —

Away win 26.3% — — —

Over 2.5 18.1% — — —

Over 3.5 6.1% — — —

BTTS 26.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob26.5%

H 36% / xG 0.8-0.6 / U2.5 18% / NoBTTS 26%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 23.2%

#2 1–0 19.0%

#3 0–1 14.9%

#4 1–1 12.2%

#5 2–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Quilmes0.8

Camioneros0.6

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 18.1% · O3.5 PROB 6.1%

Form & verdict PPG

A. QUILMES · PPG 1.00

CAMIONEROS · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

A. Quilmes (H) 36.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 37.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Camioneros (A) 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Quilmes face Camioneros on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Quilmes a 37% chance, the draw 37% and Camioneros 26%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for A. Quilmes and 0.6 for Camioneros (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 18% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 27% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Quilmes are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.80 for Camioneros. This match finished 0-0.

A. Quilmes vs Camioneros Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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