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Germany - 2. Bundesliga logo Germany flag Germany - 2. Bundesliga Regular Season - 31 Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor· Darmstadt Saturday, April 25, 2026 18:30
Darmstadt logo Darmstadt PPG 2.27
3-3 MISS
Elversberg logo Elversberg PPG 1.60
Home· +29.4% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.2%
Odds: 2.80 EV: +29.4%
Draw 24.4%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -9.7%
Away 29.4%
Odds: 2.25 EV: -33.9%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.8% Odds: 1.50 -17.8%
Over 3.5 32.4% Odds: 2.20 -28.7%
BTTS 57.2% Odds: 1.40 -19.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Darmstadt
1.63
Elversberg
1.25

Model Suggestion

BTTS -19.9% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-19.9%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.27) > Away GOOD (1.60)

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