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Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction— Poland - Ekstraklasa

Poland - Ekstraklasa logo Poland flag Poland - Ekstraklasa Regular Season - 30 Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego· Krakow Saturday, April 25, 2026 18:15
Cracovia Krakow logo Cracovia Krakow PPG 1.50
1-1 HIT CS2
Pogon Szczecin logo Pogon Szczecin PPG 0.79
Home· +26.3% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Cracovia Krakow face Pogon Szczecin in Poland - Ekstraklasa on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cracovia Krakow a 57% chance, the draw 23% and Pogon Szczecin 20%, so Cracovia Krakow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Cracovia Krakow and 1.0 for Pogon Szczecin (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cracovia Krakow are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.79 for Pogon Szczecin. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +26.3%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.4%
Odds: 2.20 EV: +26.3%
Draw 22.9%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -23.3%
Away 19.7%
Odds: 3.15 EV: -37.9%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.90 -0.6%
Over 3.5 30.1% Odds: 3.25 -2.2%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.70 -12.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Cracovia Krakow
1.81
Pogon Szczecin
0.96

Model Suggestion

Home +26.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.79)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org