NAC Breda face Ajax Amsterdam on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NAC Breda a 19% chance, the draw 21% and Ajax Amsterdam 60%, so Ajax Amsterdam are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for NAC Breda and 2.0 for Ajax Amsterdam (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NAC Breda are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.40 for Ajax Amsterdam. This match finished 0-2.
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.40)